&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[k+1]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\cdot \P^{[n-k+1]}(\NZ{1})/(1-p)+ O(p^{n}) \tag{by Claim~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\

	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[k+1]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\cdot \left(\P^{[n-k]}(\NZ{1})+O(p^{n-k})\right)/(1-p)+ O(p^{n}) \tag{by induction} \\	

	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[k+1]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\cdot \P^{[n-k]}(\NZ{1})/(1-p)+ O(p^{n}) \\	

	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[n]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})+ O(p^{n}) \tag{by Claim~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\

	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n}\P^{[n]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})+ O(p^{n}) \\

	&=\P^{[n]}(\Z{1})	+ O(p^{n}) 

	\end{align*}

\end{proof}

\begin{corollary}\label{cor:probIndepNew}

	$\P^{[n]}(\Z{1})-\P^{[m]}(\Z{1}) = O(p^{\min(n,m)})$. (Should be true with $O(p^{\min(n,m)+1})$ too.)

\end{corollary}

 	\begin{lemma}\label{lemma:independenetSidesNew}	

 		$$\P^{[k]}(\Z{1}\cap \Z{k})=\P^{[k]}(\Z{1})\P^{[k]}(\Z{k})+\mathcal{O}(p^{k})=\left(\P^{[k]}(\Z{1})\right)^2+\mathcal{O}(p^{k}).$$

 	\end{lemma}   

 	Note that using De Morgan's law and the inclusion-exclusion formula we can see that this is equivalent to saying:

 	$$\P^{[k]}(\NZ{1}\cap \NZ{k})=\P^{[k]}(\NZ{1})\P^{[k]}(\NZ{k})+\mathcal{O}(p^{k}).$$

 	\begin{proof}

 		We proceed by induction on $k$. For $k=1,2$ the statement is trivial.

 		Now observe that:

 		$$\P^{[k]}(\Z{1})=\sum_{P\text{ patch}\,:\,1\in P}\P^{[k]}(P\in\mathcal{P})$$

 		$$\P^{[k]}(\Z{k})=\sum_{P\text{ patch}\,:\,k\in P}\P^{[k]}(P\in\mathcal{P})$$

 		\begin{align*}

 		&\P^{[k]}(\Z{1}\cap \Z{k})=\\

 		&=\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\P^{[k]}([\ell],[r,k]\in\mathcal{P})

 		+\P^{[k]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\\

 		&=\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\P^{[k]}([\ell],[r,k]\in\mathcal{P})

 		+\mathcal{O}(p^{k})\\

 		&\overset{Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}{=}\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}

 		\P^{[\ell+1]}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})

 		\P^{[\ell+1,r-1]}(\NZ{\ell+1}\cap \NZ{r-1})

 		\P^{[r-1,k]}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})/(1-p)^2

 		+\mathcal{O}(p^{k})\\

 		&\overset{\text{induction}}{=}\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}

 		\P^{[\ell+1]}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})

 		\left(\P^{[\ell+1,r-1]}(\NZ{\ell+1})

		\P^{[\ell+1,r-1]}(\NZ{r-1})\right)

 		\P^{[r-1,k]}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})/(1-p)^2

 		+\mathcal{O}(p^{k})\\

 		&\overset{Corrolary~\ref{cor:probIndepNew}}{=}\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}

 		\P^{[\ell+1]}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})

 		\left(\P^{[\ell+1,k]}(\NZ{\ell+1})

 		\P^{[1,r-1]}(\NZ{r-1})\right)

 		\P^{[r-1,k]}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})/(1-p)^2

 		+\mathcal{O}(p^{k})\\

 		&\overset{Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}{=}\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}