\P^{G\setminus Y}_S(\xi^{G\setminus Y}) &=

        \P(\text{initialize }b^X\;1^S \mid \text{initialize $S$ to }1)

        \P(\text{pick }v^X_1 \mid z^X_1) \P(r^X_1)

        \P(\text{pick }v^X_2 \mid z^X_2) \P(r^X_2) \cdots \\ 

        &= (1-p)^{|b^X|} p^{|X|-|b^X|} \cdot

        \frac{1}{z^X_1} \P(r^X_1) \cdot

        \frac{1}{z^X_2} \P(r^X_2) \cdots

        \frac{1}{z^X_{|\xi^{G\setminus Y}|}} \P(r^X_{|\xi^{G\setminus Y}|}) .

    \end{align*}

    and similar for $\xi^{G\setminus X}$.

    Instead of choosing a step in $Y,X,X,Y,\cdots$ we could have chosen other orderings. The following diagram illustrates all possible interleavings, and the red line corresponds to the particular interleaving $Y,X,X,Y$ in the example above.

    \begin{center}

    \end{center}

    For the labels shown within the grid, define $p_{ij} = \frac{z^X_i}{z^X_i + z^Y_j}$.

    The probability of this particular interleaving $\xi^G$ is given by

    \begin{align*}

        \P^{G}_S(\xi^{G})

        &= (1-p)^{|b^X\; b^Y|} p^{|X\cup Y|-|b^X\;b^Y|} \quad

        \frac{1}{z^X_1+z^Y_1} \P(r^Y_1) \cdot

        \frac{1}{z^X_1+z^Y_2} \P(r^X_1) \cdots \\

        &= (1-p)^{|b^X|} p^{|X|-|b^X|} \cdot (1-p)^{|b^Y|} p^{|Y|-|b^Y|} \\

        &\qquad \cdot

        \frac{z^Y_1}{z^X_1+z^Y_1} \frac{1}{z^Y_1} \P(r^Y_1) \;

        \frac{z^X_1}{z^X_1+z^Y_2} \frac{1}{z^X_1} \P(r^X_1) \;