Changeset - 330b6c1a9887
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Andras Gilyen - 8 years ago 2017-09-07 18:50:44
gilyen@clayoquot.swat.cwi.nl
nicer proof
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@@ -551,204 +551,223 @@ The lemma says that conditioned on $v$ and $w$ not being crossed, the two halves
 
          \sum_{\substack{\xi_2\in\start{b_1} \cap \\ \mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)}\cap A_2}}
 
        \P^{(n)}_{b_1}(\xi_1)\cdot\P^{(n)}_{b_2}(\xi_2) \\
 
        &=
 
        \P^{(n)}_{b_1}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_1)
 
        \; \cdot \;
 
        \P^{(n)}_{b_2}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_2).
 
    \end{align*}
 
    The second equality follows directly from $\mathbb{P}(A\mid B)=\mathbb{P}(A,B)/\mathbb{P}(B)$ and setting $A_1,A_2$ to the always-true event.
 
    %For the third equality, by the same reasoning we can decompose the paths
 
    %\begin{align*}
 
    %    \P^{(n)}_b(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_1,A_2) R_{b,\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_1,A_2}
 
    %    &\equiv \sum_{\substack{\xi\in\start{b}\\\xi \in \mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)}\cap A_1\cap A_2}} \P^{(n)}[\xi] |\xi| \\
 
    %    &= \sum_{\substack{\xi_1\in\start{b_1}\\\xi_1 \in \mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)}\cap A_1}}
 
    %      \sum_{\substack{\xi_2\in\start{b_2}\\\xi_2 \in \mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)}\cap A_2}}
 
    %    \P^{(n)}[\xi_1]\P^{(n)}[\xi_2] (|\xi_1| + |\xi_2|) \\
 
    %    &=
 
    %    \P^{(n)}_{b_2}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_2) \P^{(n)}_{b_1}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_1) R_{b_1,\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_1} \\
 
    %    &\quad +
 
    %    \P^{(n)}_{b_1}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_1) \P^{(n)}_{b_2}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_2) R_{b_2,\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)},A_2} .
 
    %\end{align*}
 
    %Dividing by $\P^{(n)}_b(\mathrm{NZ}_{(v,w)},A_1,A_2)$ and using the first equality gives the desired result.
 
\end{proof}
 

	
 
\begin{definition}[Starting state dependent probability distribution.]
 
	Let $I\subset\mathbb{Z}$ be a finite set of vertices.
 
    Let $b_I$ be the state where everything is $1$, apart from the vertices corresponding to $I$, which are set $0$. Define $\P^{(n)}_I(A)=\P^{(n)}_{b_I}(A)$ which is defined in Definition \ref{def:conditionedevents}.
 
\end{definition}
 

	
 
\begin{lemma}[Conditional independence] \label{lemma:eventindependenceNew}
 
	Let $v,w \in [n]$, and let $A$ be any event that depends only on the sites $[v,w]$ (meaning the initialization and resamples) and similarly $B$ an event that depends only on the sites $[w,v]$. (For example $\mathrm{Z}^{(s)}$ or ``$s$ has been resampled at least $k$ times'' for an $s$ on the correct interval). Then we have
 
	\begin{align*}
 
		\P^{(n)}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)}\cap A\cap B)
 
		=
 
		\P_{b_v=b_w=1}^{[v,w]}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)}\cap A)
 
		\; \cdot \;
 
		\P^{[w,v]}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v,w)}\cap B),
 
	\end{align*}
 
	and similarly
 
	\begin{align*}
 
		\P^{[n]}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v)}\cap A\cap B)
 
		=
 
		\P_{b_v=1}^{[v]}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v)}\cap A)
 
		\; \cdot \;
 
		\P^{[v,n]}(\mathrm{NZ}^{(v)}\cap B)
 
	\end{align*}
 
	where there is no longer a condition on the starting state.
 
\end{lemma}
 

	
 
    Some notation: let $P$ be an interval $[a,b]$. We say $P$ is a \emph{patch} when the $\Z{i}$ event holds for all $i \in [a,b]$ and $\NZ{a-1}$ and $\NZ{b+1}$ holds. We denote this event by $P\in\mathcal{P}$, so
 
	\begin{align*}
 
	P\in\mathcal{P} \equiv \NZ{a-1} \cap \Z{a} \cap \Z{a+1} \cap \cdots \cap \Z{b-1} \cap \Z{b} \cap \NZ{b+1} .
 
	\end{align*}
 
	Note that we have the following partition of the event $\Z{v}$ for any vertex $v\in[n]$:
 
	\begin{align*}
 
	\Z{v} = \dot\bigcup_{P : v\in P} (P\in\mathcal{P})
 
	\end{align*}
 

	
 
The intuition of the following lemma is that the far right can only affect the zero vertex if there is an interaction chain forming, which means that every vertex should get resampled to $0$ at least once.
 
\begin{lemma}\label{lemma:probIndepNew}
 
	$\forall n\in \mathbb{N}_+:\P^{[n]}(\Z{1})-\P^{[n+1]}(\Z{1}) = \bigO{p^{n}}$. (Should be true with $\bigO{p^{n+1}}$ as well.)
 
\end{lemma}
 
\begin{proof}
 
	The proof uses induction on $n$. For $n=1$ the statement is easy, since $\P^{[1]}(\Z{1})=p$ and $\P^{[2]}(\Z{1})=p+p^2+\bigO{p^{3}}$.
 
	
 
	Induction step: suppose we proved the claim for $n-1$, then
 
	\begin{align*}
 
	\P^{[n+1]}(\Z{1})
 
	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n+1}\P^{[n+1]}([k]\in\mathcal{P}) \tag{the events are a partition}\\
 
	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[n+1]}([k]\in\mathcal{P}) + \bigO{p^{n}}\tag*{$\left(\P^{[n+1]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})=O(p^{k})\right)$}\\	
 
	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[k+1]}_{b_{k+1}=1}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\cdot \P^{[n-k+1]}(\NZ{1})+ \bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Claim~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[k+1]}_{b_{k+1}=1}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\cdot \left(\P^{[n-k]}(\NZ{1})+\bigO{p^{n-k}}\right)+ \bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by induction} \\	
 
	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[k+1]}_{b_{k+1}=1}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\cdot \P^{[n-k]}(\NZ{1})+ \bigO{p^{n}} \tag*{$\left(\P^{[k+1]}_{b_{k+1}=1}([k]\in\mathcal{P})=\bigO{p^{k}}\right)$}\\	
 
	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n-1}\P^{[n]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})+ \bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Claim~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
	&=\sum_{k=1}^{n}\P^{[n]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})+ \bigO{p^{n}} \tag*{$\left(\P^{[n]}([n]\in\mathcal{P})=\bigO{p^{n}}\right)$}\\	
 
	&=\P^{[n]}(\Z{1})	+ \bigO{p^{n}} 
 
	\end{align*}
 
\end{proof}
 
\begin{corollary}\label{cor:probIndepNew}
 
	$\P^{[n]}(\Z{1})-\P^{[m]}(\Z{1}) = \bigO{p^{\min(n,m)}}$. (Should be true with $\bigO{p^{\min(n,m)+1}}$ too.)
 
\end{corollary}
 

	
 
	The intuition of the following lemma is simmilar to the previous. The events on the two sides should be independent unless an interaction chain is forming, implying that every vertex gets resampled to $0$ at least once.
 

	
 
 	\begin{lemma}\label{lemma:independenetSidesNew}	
 
 		$$\P^{[k]}(\Z{1}\cap \Z{k})=\P^{[k]}(\Z{1})\P^{[k]}(\Z{k})+\bigO{p^{k}}=\left(\P^{[k]}(\Z{1})\right)^2+\bigO{p^{k}}.$$
 
 	\end{lemma}   
 
 	Note that using De Morgan's law and the inclusion-exclusion formula we can see that this is equivalent to saying:
 
 	$$\P^{[k]}(\NZ{1}\cap \NZ{k})=\P^{[k]}(\NZ{1})\P^{[k]}(\NZ{k})+\bigO{p^{k}}.$$
 
 	\begin{proof}
 
 		We proceed by induction on $k$. For $k=1,2$ the statement is trivial.
 
 		
 
 		Now observe that:
 
 		$$\P^{[k]}(\Z{1})=\sum_{P\text{ patch}\,:\,1\in P}\P^{[k]}(P\in\mathcal{P})$$
 
 		$$\P^{[k]}(\Z{k})=\sum_{P\text{ patch}\,:\,k\in P}\P^{[k]}(P\in\mathcal{P})$$
 
 		
 
 		Suppose we proved the statement up to $k-1$, then we proceed using induction similarly to the above
 
 		\begin{align*}
 
 		&\P^{[k]}(\Z{1}\cap \Z{k})=\\
 
 		&=\!\!\!\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\!\!\!\P^{[k]}([\ell],[r,k]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		+\P^{[k]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})\\
 
 		&=\!\!\!\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\!\!\!\P^{[k]}([\ell],[r,k]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		+\bigO{p^{k}} \tag*{$\left(\P^{[k]}([k]\in\mathcal{P})=\bigO{p^{k}}\right)$}\\	
 
 		&=\!\!\!\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\!\!\!
 
 		\P^{[\ell+1]}_{b_{\ell+1}=1}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		\P^{[\ell+1,r-1]}(\NZ{\ell+1}\cap \NZ{r-1})
 
 		\P^{[r-1,k]}_{b_{r-1}=1}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		+\bigO{p^{k}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
 		&=\!\!\!\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\!\!\!
 
 		\P^{[\ell+1]}_{b_{\ell+1}=1}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		\left(\P^{[\ell+1,r-1]}(\NZ{\ell+1})
 
		\P^{[\ell+1,r-1]}(\NZ{r-1})\right)
 
 		\P^{[r-1,k]}_{b_{r-1}=1}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		+\bigO{p^{k}} \tag{by induction}\\
 
 		&=\!\!\!\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\!\!\!
 
 		\P^{[\ell+1]}_{b_{\ell+1}=1}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		\left(\P^{[\ell+1,k]}(\NZ{\ell+1})
 
 		\P^{[1,r-1]}_{b_{r-1}=1}(\NZ{r-1})\right)
 
 		\P^{[r-1,k]}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		+\bigO{p^{k}} \tag{by Corrolary~\ref{cor:probIndepNew}}\\
 
 		&=\!\!\!\sum_{\ell, r\in [k]: \ell<r-1}\!\!\!
 
 		\P^{[k]}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		\P^{[k]}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})
 
 		+\bigO{p^{k}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
 		&=\left(\sum_{\ell\in [k]}\P^{[k]}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})\right)
 
 		\left(\sum_{r\in [k]}\P^{[k]}([r,k]\in\mathcal{P})\right)
 
 		+\bigO{p^{k}} \tag*{$\left(\P^{[k]}([\ell]\in\mathcal{P})=\bigO{p^{\ell}}\right)$}\\	
 
 		&=\P^{[k]}(\Z{1})\P^{[k]}(\Z{k})
 
 		+\bigO{p^{k}}.	
 
 		\end{align*}
 
 	\end{proof}
 

	
 
	Again the intuition of the final theorem is simmilar to the previous lemmas. A site can only realise the length of the cycle after an interaction chain was formed around the cycle, implying that every vertex was resampled to $0$ at least once.
 
 	
 
	\begin{theorem}
 
		$R^{(n)}-R^{(m)}=\bigO{p^{\min(n,m)}}$.
 
	\end{theorem}
 
	\begin{proof}
 
        Some notation: let $P$ be an interval $[a,b]$. We say $P$ is a \emph{patch} when the $\Z{i}$ event holds for all $i \in [a,b]$ and $\NZ{a-1}$ and $\NZ{b+1}$ holds. We denote this event by $P\in\mathcal{P}$, so
 
        \begin{align*}
 
            P\in\mathcal{P} \equiv \NZ{a-1} \cap \Z{a} \cap \Z{a+1} \cap \cdots \cap \Z{b-1} \cap \Z{b} \cap \NZ{b+1} .
 
        \end{align*}
 
        Note that we have the following partition of the event $\Z{v}$ for any vertex $v\in[n]$:
 
		Let $N\geq \max(2n,2m)$, then
 
		\vskip-3mm
 
		\begin{align*}
 
            \Z{v} = \dot\bigcup_{P : v\in P} (P\in\mathcal{P})
 
			R^{(n)}
 
			&= \E^{(n)}(\Res{0}) \tag{by translation invariance}\\
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\P^{(n)}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k) \\		
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\underset{v+w\leq n+1}{v,w\in [n]}}\P^{(n)}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, \underset{P_{v,w}:=}{\underbrace{[-v\!+\!1,w\!-\!1]}}\in\mathcal{P}) \tag{partition}\\[-1mm]
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\underset{v+w\leq n}{v,w\in [n]}}\P^{(n)}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P_{v,w}\!\in\!\mathcal{P}) +\bigO{p^{n}}\\[-1mm]
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\smash{\sum_{\underset{v+w\leq n}{v,w\in [n]}}}\P^{[-v,w]}_{b_{-v}=b_{w}=1}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P_{v,w}\!\in\!\mathcal{P}) \P^{[w,n-v]}(\NZ{w,n-v}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\smash{\sum_{\underset{v+w\leq n}{v,w\in [n]}}}\P^{[-v,w]}_{b_{-v}=b_{w}=1}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P_{v,w}\!\in\!\mathcal{P})  \left(\left(\P^{[w,n-v]}(\NZ{w})\right)^{\!\!2}\!+\!\bigO{p^{n-v-w+1}}\right) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:independenetSidesNew}}\\
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\smash{\sum_{\underset{v+w\leq n}{v,w\in [n]}}}\P^{[-v,w]}_{b_{-v}=b_{w}=1}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P_{v,w}\!\in\!\mathcal{P})  \left(\P^{[-N,-v]}(\NZ{-v})\P^{[w,N]}(\NZ{w})\!+\!\bigO{p^{n-v-w+1}}\right) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:independenetSidesNew}}\\	
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\smash{\sum_{\underset{v+w\leq n}{v,w\in [n]}}}\P^{[-v,w]}_{b_{-v}=b_{w}=1}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P_{v,w}\!\in\!\mathcal{P}) \P^{[-N,-v]}(\NZ{-v})\P^{[w,N]}(\NZ{w}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{$|P_{v,w}|=v+w-1$}\\
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\underset{v+w\leq n}{v,w\in [n]}}\P^{[-N,N]}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P_{v,w}\!\in\!\mathcal{P}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\[-1mm]
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\underset{|P|<n}{P\text{ patch}:0\in P}}\P^{[-N,N]}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \\[-1mm]
 
			&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:0\in P}\P^{[-N,N]}(\Res{0}\!\geq\! k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \\
 
			&= \E^{[-N,N]}(\Res{0})+\bigO{p^{n}}.\\[-3mm]										
 
		\end{align*}  
 
		\noindent Repeating the same argument with $m$ and comparing the results completes the proof.
 
	\end{proof} 	
 
\begin{comment}
 
		Let $N\geq \max(2n,2m)$, then
 
		\begin{align*}
 
		R^{(n)}
 
		&= \E^{(n)}(\Res{1}) \tag{by translation invariance}\\
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\P^{(n)}(\Res{1}\geq k) \\
 
		%&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\underset{\ell\geq r-1}{\ell,r\in[n]}}\P^{(n)}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, [\ell+1,r-1]\in\mathcal{P}) \tag{partition}\\
 
		%&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\underset{\ell\geq r}{\ell,r\in[n]}}\P^{(n)}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, [\ell+1,r-1]\in\mathcal{P})  +\bigO{p^{n}} \\	
 
		%&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{\underset{\ell\geq r}{\ell,r\in[n]}}\P^{[l,r]}_{b_{\ell}=b_{r}=1}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, [\ell+1,r-1]\in\mathcal{P}) \P^{[r,\ell]}(\NZ{\ell,r}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\				
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:1\in P}\P^{(n)}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) \tag{partition}\\
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:1\in P}^{|P|<n}\P^{(n)}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) +\bigO{p^{n}}\\
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:1\in P}^{|P|<n}\P^{[P\cup \partial P]}_{b_{\partial P}=1}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) \P^{[\overline{P}]}(\NZ{\partial P}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:1\in P}^{|P|<n}\P^{[P\cup \partial P]}_{b_{\partial P}=1}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) \left(\left(\P^{[|\overline{P}|]}(\NZ{1})\right)^2+\bigO{p^{|\overline{P}|}}\right) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:independenetSidesNew}}\\
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:1\in P}^{|P|<n}\P^{[P\cup \partial P]}_{b_{\partial P}=1}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) \left(\left(\P^{[N]}(\NZ{1})\right)^2+\bigO{p^{|\overline{P}|}}\right) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Corollary~\ref{cor:probIndepNew}}\\
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:1\in P}^{|P|<n}\P^{[-N,N]}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
		&= \sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\sum_{P\text{ patch}:1\in P}\P^{[-N,N]}(\Res{1}\geq k\,\&\, P\in\mathcal{P}) +\bigO{p^{n}} \tag{by Lemma~\ref{lemma:eventindependenceNew}}\\
 
		&= \E^{[-N,N]}(\Res{1})+\bigO{p^{n}}.
 
		\end{align*}	
 
		
 
		Repeating the same calculation with $m$, and comparing the two expressions completes the proof.
 
	\end{proof} 	
 
\end{comment}			
 

	
 
Old:
 

	
 
The intuition of the following lemma is that the far right can only affect the zero vertex if there is an interaction chain forming, which means that every vertex should get resampled to $0$ at least once.
 
\begin{lemma}\label{lemma:probIndep}
 
	Suppose we have a finite set $I\subset\mathbb{N}_+$ of vertices.
 
    Let $I_{\max}:=\max(I)$ and $I':=I\setminus\{I_{\max}\}$, and similarly let $I_{\min}:=\min(I)$. These definitions are illustraded in Figure \ref{fig:lemmaillustration}.
 
	Then $\P^\infty_{I}(\Z{0})-\P^\infty_{I'}(\Z{0}) = O(p^{I_{\max}-|I'|})$.
 
\end{lemma}
 
\begin{proof}
 
\begin{figure}
 
	\begin{center}
 
    	\includegraphics{diagram_proborders.pdf}
 
    \end{center}
 
    \caption{\label{fig:lemmaillustration} Illustration of setup of Lemma \ref{lemma:probIndep}.}
 
\end{figure}
 
	The proof uses induction on $|I|$. For $|I|=1$ the statement is easy, since every resample sequence that resamples vertex $0$ to zero must produce at least $I_{\max}$ zeroes in-between.
 
	
 
    Induction step: For an event $A$ and $k>0$ let us denote $A_k = A\cap\left(\cap_{j=0}^{k-1} \mathrm{Z}^{(j)}\right)\cap \NZ{(k)}$, i.e. $A_k$ is the event $A$ \emph{and} ``Each vertex in $0,1,2,\ldots, k-1$ becomes $0$ at some point before termination (either by resampling or initialisation), but vertex $k$ does not''. Observe that these events form a partition, so $\Z{(0)}=\dot{\bigcup}_{k=1}^{\infty}\Z{(0)}_k$.
 
    Let $I_{<k}:=I\cap[1,k-1]$ and similarly $I_{>k}:=I\setminus[1,k]$, finally let $I_{><}:=\{I_{\min}+1,I_{\max}-1]\}\setminus I$ (note that $I_{><} = \gaps{I}$ as shown in Figure \ref{fig:diametergap}). Suppose we have proven the claim up to $|I|-1$, then the induction step can be shown by
 
	\begin{align*}
 
		\P^\infty_{I}(\Z{(0)})
 
		&=\sum_{k=1}^{\infty}\P^\infty(\Z{(0)}_k) \tag{the events are a partition}\\
 
        &=\sum_{k\in \mathbb{N}\setminus I}\P^\infty(\Z{(0)}_k) \tag{$\mathbb{\P^\infty}(A_k)=0$ for $k\in I$}\\
 
        &=\sum_{k\in\mathbb{N}\setminus I}\P^\infty_{I_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)\cdot \P^\infty_{I_{>k}}(\NZ{(k)}) \tag{by Claim~\ref{claim:eventindependence}}\\
 
        &=\sum_{k\in I_{><}}\P^\infty_{I_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)\cdot \P^\infty_{I_{>k}}(\NZ{(k)})+\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}+1-|I|})
 
		\tag{$k<I_{\min}\Rightarrow \P^\infty_{I_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)=0$}\\
 
        &=\sum_{k\in I_{><}}\P^\infty_{I'_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)\cdot \P^\infty_{I_{>k}}(\NZ{(k)})+\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}+1-|I|})	
 
		\tag{$k< I_{\max}\Rightarrow I_{<k}=I'_{<k}$}\\
 
		&=\sum_{k\in I_{><}}\P^\infty_{I'_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)\cdot
 
        \left(\P^\infty_{I'_{>k}}(\NZ{(k)})+\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}-k+1-|I_{>k}|})\right) +\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}+1-|I|})	\tag{by induction, since for $k>I_{\min}$ we have $|I_{<k}|<|I|$}\\
 
		&=\sum_{k\in I_{><}}\P^\infty_{I'_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)\cdot
 
        \P^\infty_{I'_{>k}}(\NZ{(k)}) +\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}+1-|I|})	
 
		\tag{as $\P^\infty_{I'_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)=\mathcal{O}(p^{k-|I'_{<k}|})$}\\
 
		&=\sum_{k\in\mathbb{N}\setminus I}\P^\infty_{I'_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)\cdot
 
        \P^\infty_{I'_{>k}}(\NZ{(k)}) +\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}+1-|I|})\\
 
		&=\sum_{k\in\mathbb{N}\setminus I'}\P^\infty_{I'_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)\cdot
 
        \P^\infty_{I'_{>k}}(\NZ{(k)}) +\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}+1-|I|})	\tag{$k=I_{\max}\Rightarrow \P^\infty_{I'_{<k}}(\Z{(0)}_k)=\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}-|I'|})=\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}+1-|I|})$}\\
 
		&=\P^\infty_{I'}(\Z{(0)}) +\mathcal{O}(p^{I_{\max}-|I'|})	\tag{analogously to the beginning}			
 
	\end{align*}
 
\end{proof}
 
\begin{corollary}\label{cor:probIndep}
 
	Suppose $I,J\subset\mathbb{N}_+$ are finite sets of vertices, and let $m=\min(\Delta(I,J))$.
 
	Then $\P^\infty_{I}(\Z{0})-\P^\infty_{J}(\Z{0}) = O(p^{|[m]\cap I\cap J|})$.
 
\end{corollary}
 

	
 
	%The main insight that Lemma~\ref{lemma:probIndep} gives is that if we separate the slots to two halves, in order to see the cancellation of the contribution of the expected resamples on the right, we can simply pair up the left configurations by the particle filling the leftmost slot. And similarly for cancelling the left expectations we pair up right configurations based on the rightmost filling. 
 

	
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